Baseball Bot · Yamceenery

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Picks every game, grades itself

Runs on its own three times a day: it predicts each upcoming game before first pitch from team run scoring & prevention, the starting pitchers and home field — then checks the final score.

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Bot archive

My betting bot’s picks

Latest model card: Aug 23, 2026.

Season record56–7842% of official picks won

Net units-2.37uFlat 1 unit per pick

Return on stake-1.8%134 settled · 83 watchlist

Aug 23 · 1:35 PM ETlost

St. Louis Cardinals4

Philadelphia Phillies6

Model pickSt. Louis Cardinals +194

Model54.4%

Market37.7%

Edge+16.8%

Starters: Kyle Leahy vs Cristopher Sánchez

Why the model likes it

V9P sees value on St. Louis Cardinals (STL) at +194 against Philadelphia Phillies (PHI); the market is pricing St. Louis Cardinals (STL) around 38%, while the model is closer to 54% after roster/injury context. Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals (STL) at Philadelphia Phillies (PHI). Starter note: Kyle Leahy (STL) has held up recently: 2.94 ERA, 1.21 WHIP over 5 recent starts; the starter gap between Kyle Leahy (STL) and Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) is not huge. Team read: recent St. Louis Cardinals (STL) lineup production is a real concern, recent St. Louis Cardinals (STL) run prevention is a red flag, and recent St. Louis Cardinals (STL) form is working against the pick. There is no obvious rest edge here. Availability check: Philadelphia Phillies are carrying 7 40-man availability flags, led by Adolis García (PHI, RF) - Injured 60-Day, Brad Keller (PHI, P) - Injured 60-Day, Caleb Kilian (PHI, P) - Injured 15-Day. That is a small plus for St. Louis Cardinals (STL).

Aug 23 · 4:10 PM ETlost

Pittsburgh Pirates0

Los Angeles Dodgers4

Model pickPittsburgh Pirates +245

Model52.6%

Market32.7%

Edge+19.9%

Starters: Lake Bachar vs Blake Snell

Why the model likes it

V9P sees value on Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) at +245 against Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD); the market is pricing Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) around 33%, while the model is closer to 53% after roster/injury context. Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) at Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD). Starter note: Lake Bachar (PIT) has held up recently: 3.19 ERA, 1.16 WHIP over 5 recent starts; Blake Snell (LAD) has the more attackable recent starter file for Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD). Team read: recent Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) run support has been stronger than Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD)'s, recent Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) run prevention is fairly neutral, and recent Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) form is working against the pick. There is no obvious rest edge here. Availability check: Los Angeles Dodgers are carrying 14 40-man availability flags, led by Andy Pages (LAD, CF) - Injured 10-Day, Ben Casparius (LAD, P) - Injured 60-Day, Blake Treinen (LAD, P) - Injured 60-Day. That is a small plus for Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT).

Aug 21 · 6:40 PM ETlost

St. Louis Cardinals6

Philadelphia Phillies7

Model pickSt. Louis Cardinals +245

Model46.2%

Market32.7%

Edge+13.5%

Starters: Hunter Dobbins vs Jesús Luzardo

Why the model likes it

V9P sees value on St. Louis Cardinals (STL) at +245 against Philadelphia Phillies (PHI); the market is pricing St. Louis Cardinals (STL) around 33%, while the model is closer to 46% after roster/injury context. Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals (STL) at Philadelphia Phillies (PHI). Starter note: Hunter Dobbins (STL) has held up recently: 3.30 ERA, 1.25 WHIP over 5 recent starts; the starter gap between Hunter Dobbins (STL) and Jesús Luzardo (PHI) is not huge. Team read: recent St. Louis Cardinals (STL) hitting form is not a major edge, recent St. Louis Cardinals (STL) run prevention has been better than Philadelphia Phillies (PHI)'s, and recent St. Louis Cardinals (STL) form is working against the pick. There is no obvious rest edge here. Availability check: Philadelphia Phillies are carrying 7 40-man availability flags, led by Adolis García (PHI, RF) - Injured 60-Day, Brad Keller (PHI, P) - Injured 60-Day, Caleb Kilian (PHI, P) - Injured 15-Day. That is a small plus for St. Louis Cardinals (STL).

Aug 21 · 10:10 PM ETlost

Pittsburgh Pirates4

Los Angeles Dodgers5

Model pickPittsburgh Pirates +212

Model48.8%

Market35.7%

Edge+13.1%

Starters: Bubba Chandler vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Why the model likes it

V9P sees value on Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) at +212 against Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD); the market is pricing Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) around 36%, while the model is closer to 49% after roster/injury context. Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) at Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD). Starter note: Bubba Chandler (PIT) has held up recently: 3.13 ERA, 1.17 WHIP over 5 recent starts; the starter gap between Bubba Chandler (PIT) and Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) is not huge. Team read: recent Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) lineup production is a real concern, recent Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) run prevention is a red flag, and recent Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) form is not a major driver. There is no obvious rest edge here. Availability check: Los Angeles Dodgers are carrying 13 40-man availability flags, led by Ben Casparius (LAD, P) - Injured 60-Day, Blake Treinen (LAD, P) - Injured 60-Day, Bobby Miller (LAD, P) - Injured 60-Day. That is a small plus for Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT).

Aug 19 · 8:40 PM ETlost

Los Angeles Dodgers6

Colorado Rockies4

Model pickColorado Rockies +178

Model48.1%

Market39.3%

Edge+8.8%

Starters: Roki Sasaki vs Kyle Freeland

Why the model likes it

V9P sees value on Colorado Rockies (COL) at +178 against Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD); the market is pricing Colorado Rockies (COL) around 39%, while the model is closer to 48% after roster/injury context. Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD) at Colorado Rockies (COL). Starter note: Kyle Freeland (COL) has held up recently: 3.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP over 5 recent starts; the starter gap between Kyle Freeland (COL) and Roki Sasaki (LAD) is not huge. Team read: recent Colorado Rockies (COL) run support has been stronger than Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD)'s, recent Colorado Rockies (COL) run prevention is a red flag, and recent Colorado Rockies (COL) form is not a major driver. There is no obvious rest edge here. Availability check: Colorado Rockies (COL) has 10 roster flags; Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD) has 13.

Aug 18 · 8:05 PM ETlost

Chicago White Sox3

Chicago Cubs4

Model pickChicago White Sox +163

Model50.4%

Market41.6%

Edge+8.8%

Starters: Bryan Hudson vs Kevin Gausman

Why the model likes it

V9P sees value on Chicago White Sox (CWS) at +163 against Chicago Cubs (CHC); the market is pricing Chicago White Sox (CWS) around 42%, while the model is closer to 50% after roster/injury context. Matchup: Chicago White Sox (CWS) at Chicago Cubs (CHC). Starter note: Bryan Hudson (CWS) has held up recently: 3.58 ERA, 1.08 WHIP over 5 recent starts; Kevin Gausman (CHC) has the more attackable recent starter file for Chicago Cubs (CHC). Team read: recent Chicago White Sox (CWS) hitting form is not a major edge, recent Chicago White Sox (CWS) run prevention has been better than Chicago Cubs (CHC)'s, and recent Chicago White Sox (CWS) form is not a major driver. There is no obvious rest edge here. Availability check: Chicago White Sox (CWS) has 11 roster flags; Chicago Cubs (CHC) has 15.

Performance

Units over the season

Cumulative result of every official pick, 1 unit each.

Sun Aug 230–2-2.00u

Pittsburgh Pirates, St. Louis Cardinals

Fri Aug 210–2-2.00u

Pittsburgh Pirates, St. Louis Cardinals

Wed Aug 190–1-1.00u

Colorado Rockies

Tue Aug 180–1-1.00u

Chicago White Sox

Mon Aug 170–1-1.00u

Miami Marlins

Sun Aug 162–2+1.33u

St. Louis Cardinals, Washington Nationals, Cleveland Guardians, Milwaukee Brewers

Sat Aug 151–0+1.70u

Toronto Blue Jays

Fri Aug 141–1-0.15u

Texas Rangers, Houston Astros

Thu Aug 131–0+1.33u

Los Angeles Angels

Tue Aug 111–1+0.50u

Kansas City Royals, St. Louis Cardinals

Mon Aug 100–2-2.00u

Kansas City Royals, Athletics

Sun Aug 91–2+0.03u

Houston Astros, Minnesota Twins, Athletics

Model health

How the models tested

Walk-forward tests: every prediction made before the result was known. Lower Brier and log loss are better.

Model	Games	Accuracy	Brier	Log loss	Calibration
Elo baseline v1	888	52.4%	0.255	0.703	5.7%
Elo + rolling form v2	888	51.2%	0.254	0.701	5.2%
Team form + starters v3	888	51.9%	0.257	0.708	5.5%
Auto v4 (elo, C=0.03)	888	51.7%	0.250	0.692	2.0%
Auto v4 (all, C=1)	95	56.8%	0.245	0.684	11.9%

Every saved prediction (217)

Date	Matchup	Pick	Model	Market	Edge	Result
2026-08-23	St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies	St. Louis Cardinals +194	54.4%	37.7%	+16.8%	lost
2026-08-23	Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers	Pittsburgh Pirates +245	52.6%	32.7%	+19.9%	lost
2026-08-22	Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers	Pittsburgh Pirates +245	46.3%	32.7%	+13.6%	filtered
2026-08-21	St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies	St. Louis Cardinals +245	46.2%	32.7%	+13.5%	lost
2026-08-21	Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers	Pittsburgh Pirates +212	48.8%	35.7%	+13.1%	lost
2026-08-21	Minnesota Twins at San Diego Padres	Minnesota Twins +113	45.5%	50.5%	-5.0%	filtered
2026-08-20	Washington Nationals at Texas Rangers	Washington Nationals +163	54.0%	41.6%	+12.4%	filtered
2026-08-19	Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies +178	48.1%	39.3%	+8.8%	lost
2026-08-18	Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs	Chicago White Sox +163	50.4%	41.6%	+8.8%	lost
2026-08-17	St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds	St. Louis Cardinals -117	58.7%	58.0%	+0.7%	filtered
2026-08-17	Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies	Miami Marlins +223	47.5%	34.4%	+13.2%	lost
2026-08-16	Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers	Milwaukee Brewers +170	49.7%	40.6%	+9.0%	won
2026-08-16	San Diego Padres at Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians +108	60.1%	51.5%	+8.6%	lost
2026-08-16	Washington Nationals at New York Mets	Washington Nationals +150	50.2%	43.6%	+6.6%	lost
2026-08-16	St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs	St. Louis Cardinals +163	52.6%	41.6%	+10.9%	won
2026-08-15	New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays +170	49.8%	40.6%	+9.1%	won
2026-08-15	Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Angels	Kansas City Royals +138	47.5%	45.6%	+1.9%	filtered
2026-08-15	San Diego Padres at Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians -113	51.4%	56.5%	-5.0%	filtered
2026-08-14	Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros	Houston Astros -117	63.9%	57.5%	+6.5%	won
2026-08-14	Texas Rangers at Athletics	Texas Rangers -104	48.4%	54.5%	-6.1%	lost
2026-08-13	Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels +133	54.1%	46.5%	+7.5%	won
2026-08-11	Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals	Chicago Cubs -170	55.5%	66.3%	-10.9%	filtered
2026-08-11	Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals +150	54.9%	43.6%	+11.3%	won
2026-08-11	Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Dodgers	Kansas City Royals +245	53.5%	32.7%	+20.8%	lost
2026-08-10	Tampa Bay Rays at Athletics	Athletics +150	54.1%	43.6%	+10.5%	lost
2026-08-10	Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Dodgers	Kansas City Royals +245	44.5%	32.7%	+11.8%	lost
2026-08-09	Athletics at Boston Red Sox	Athletics +203	43.1%	36.7%	+6.4%	won
2026-08-09	Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers	Minnesota Twins +245	42.9%	32.7%	+10.2%	lost
2026-08-09	Houston Astros at San Diego Padres	Houston Astros +108	50.2%	51.5%	-1.4%	lost
2026-08-08	Houston Astros at San Diego Padres	Houston Astros +108	54.5%	51.1%	+3.4%	filtered
2026-08-08	Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers	Baltimore Orioles +138	54.9%	45.6%	+9.4%	lost
2026-08-08	Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks +178	54.8%	39.6%	+15.2%	lost
2026-08-07	New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates	New York Mets +122	51.8%	44.6%	+7.1%	won
2026-08-07	Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks +156	48.9%	38.3%	+10.6%	won
2026-08-07	Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies	Toronto Blue Jays +194	43.0%	33.7%	+9.3%	won
2026-08-07	Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants	Detroit Tigers -127	54.9%	55.4%	-0.5%	filtered
2026-08-07	Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals -117	53.5%	52.9%	+0.7%	filtered
2026-08-07	Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals +156	45.6%	38.7%	+6.9%	filtered
2026-08-06	Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox	Chicago White Sox +170	43.3%	36.3%	+7.0%	lost
2026-08-06	Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies	Washington Nationals +300	44.7%	25.0%	+19.7%	lost
2026-08-05	Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox	Chicago White Sox +133	51.1%	42.5%	+8.6%	filtered
2026-08-05	Athletics at Cincinnati Reds	Athletics +150	48.3%	39.6%	+8.7%	filtered
2026-08-05	St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees	St. Louis Cardinals +138	51.3%	41.2%	+10.1%	won
2026-08-05	Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners	Detroit Tigers +138	54.1%	41.6%	+12.5%	lost
2026-08-05	Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies	Washington Nationals +178	49.6%	35.3%	+14.3%	won
2026-08-04	San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks -113	58.5%	52.5%	+6.1%	lost
2026-08-04	San Francisco Giants at Texas Rangers	San Francisco Giants +186	46.0%	34.6%	+11.3%	filtered
2026-08-04	St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees	St. Louis Cardinals +186	50.2%	34.6%	+15.6%	filtered
2026-08-04	Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies +156	54.4%	38.7%	+15.8%	filtered
2026-08-04	Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs +178	49.2%	35.6%	+13.6%	filtered
2026-08-04	Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners -117	47.9%	53.4%	-5.5%	lost
2026-08-04	Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles	Los Angeles Angels +144	41.9%	40.6%	+1.3%	lost
2026-08-03	Tampa Bay Rays at Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies +163	46.6%	37.6%	+9.0%	lost
2026-08-03	Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers	Pittsburgh Pirates +138	49.2%	41.6%	+7.6%	filtered
2026-08-03	St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees	St. Louis Cardinals +212	43.4%	31.7%	+11.7%	won
2026-08-02	Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves	Washington Nationals +117	54.2%	45.6%	+8.6%	filtered
2026-08-02	Detroit Tigers at Athletics	Detroit Tigers -117	59.4%	52.9%	+6.5%	filtered
2026-08-02	Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners	Minnesota Twins +127	54.1%	43.6%	+10.5%	filtered
2026-08-02	Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers	Boston Red Sox +163	52.1%	37.6%	+14.4%	won
2026-08-02	St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays	St. Louis Cardinals +113	65.2%	46.1%	+19.1%	filtered
2026-08-02	Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves	Washington Nationals +108	52.6%	47.5%	+5.1%	filtered
2026-08-01	Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies	Kansas City Royals +113	54.7%	46.6%	+8.1%	filtered
2026-08-01	Detroit Tigers at Athletics	Athletics +156	51.4%	38.3%	+13.1%	lost
2026-08-01	Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians -163	64.9%	61.3%	+3.6%	filtered
2026-08-01	Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds +113	56.9%	46.9%	+9.9%	filtered
2026-08-01	Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles +138	53.4%	41.6%	+11.8%	filtered
2026-08-01	San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres	San Francisco Giants +138	54.6%	41.6%	+13.0%	filtered
2026-08-01	St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays	St. Louis Cardinals +144	57.6%	40.2%	+17.4%	filtered
2026-07-31	Miami Marlins at New York Mets	Miami Marlins +108	55.9%	47.5%	+8.3%	filtered
2026-07-31	Detroit Tigers at Athletics	Athletics +127	39.7%	43.6%	-3.8%	filtered
2026-07-31	Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves	Washington Nationals +108	57.4%	47.5%	+9.9%	lost
2026-07-31	Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers	Boston Red Sox +122	53.4%	44.6%	+8.8%	won
2026-07-31	Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians -133	68.7%	56.4%	+12.3%	lost
2026-07-31	St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays	St. Louis Cardinals +170	54.7%	36.6%	+18.1%	lost
2026-07-31	Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles -108	54.8%	51.4%	+3.4%	filtered
2026-07-30	Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves	Washington Nationals -144	75.9%	59.0%	+13.0%	lost
2026-07-30	San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres	San Francisco Giants +150	50.6%	39.6%	+11.0%	won
2026-07-29	Boston Red Sox at Athletics	Athletics +138	51.5%	41.2%	+10.3%	filtered
2026-07-29	Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals	Chicago Cubs +108	64.0%	48.0%	+12.0%	lost
2026-07-29	Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays	Texas Rangers +335	38.0%	23.0%	+11.0%	lost
2026-07-29	Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins	Kansas City Royals +178	47.4%	35.6%	+11.8%	won
2026-07-29	Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants -150	74.8%	60.0%	+10.8%	won
2026-07-29	Boston Red Sox at Athletics	Athletics +138	51.5%	41.6%	+9.9%	filtered
2026-07-29	Atlanta Braves at New York Mets	New York Mets +144	49.5%	40.6%	+8.9%	filtered
2026-07-29	Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins	Kansas City Royals +178	45.4%	35.6%	+9.8%	filtered
2026-07-29	Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds +127	46.1%	43.6%	+2.6%	filtered
2026-07-29	Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Dodgers	Seattle Mariners +163	57.5%	37.6%	+19.8%	lost
2026-07-28	Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins	Kansas City Royals -144	81.0%	59.0%	+18.0%	lost
2026-07-28	Boston Red Sox at Athletics	Boston Red Sox -144	64.9%	58.4%	+6.4%	filtered
2026-07-28	Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins	Kansas City Royals +163	45.4%	37.6%	+7.7%	filtered
2026-07-28	Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres	Colorado Rockies +203	41.3%	32.7%	+8.6%	filtered
2026-07-28	Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays -163	58.4%	61.3%	-2.9%	filtered
2026-07-28	Atlanta Braves at New York Mets	New York Mets +144	51.6%	40.6%	+11.0%	filtered
2026-07-28	Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds	Cleveland Guardians -133	56.6%	56.4%	+0.2%	filtered
2026-07-28	Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals	Chicago Cubs -108	48.0%	51.4%	-3.4%	filtered
2026-07-28	Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Dodgers	Seattle Mariners +212	41.7%	31.7%	+10.0%	won
2026-07-27	Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins	Philadelphia Phillies -156	99.0%	61.0%	+34.0%	lost
2026-07-27	Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers	Baltimore Orioles -163	90.0%	62.0%	+28.0%	won
2026-07-27	Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels +111	52.8%	47.4%	+5.4%	lost
2026-07-27	Atlanta Braves at New York Mets	New York Mets -100	56.7%	50.0%	+6.7%	filtered
2026-07-27	Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds	Cleveland Guardians +144	47.9%	40.6%	+7.4%	filtered
2026-07-27	New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox -127	50.1%	56.0%	-5.9%	filtered
2026-07-27	Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins	Philadelphia Phillies -100	58.5%	50.0%	+8.5%	filtered
2026-07-27	Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals -100	61.9%	50.0%	+11.8%	lost
2026-07-26	Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles	Atlanta Braves +127	54.8%	44.0%	+10.8%	won
2026-07-26	Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals	Arizona Diamondbacks +108	71.8%	48.0%	+23.8%	lost
2026-07-26	Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants +104	52.6%	48.6%	+4.1%	filtered
2026-07-26	Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers	Seattle Mariners -100	53.3%	49.5%	+3.8%	filtered
2026-07-26	Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates	Chicago Cubs +138	47.3%	42.0%	+5.3%	lost
2026-07-26	Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers	Kansas City Royals +113	68.0%	47.0%	+21.0%	won
2026-07-26	Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox +111	52.3%	47.4%	+4.9%	filtered
2026-07-26	Athletics at Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins -100	59.4%	50.0%	+9.4%	filtered
2026-07-26	New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies	New York Yankees +178	47.6%	35.3%	+12.3%	lost
2026-07-26	Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians +127	53.3%	43.6%	+9.8%	filtered
2026-07-26	Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals -108	62.3%	51.9%	+10.4%	lost
2026-07-26	Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers	Kansas City Royals +170	49.2%	36.6%	+12.6%	filtered
2026-07-26	San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins	San Diego Padres +138	55.2%	42.0%	+13.2%	filtered
2026-07-26	Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers	Colorado Rockies +300	39.2%	24.5%	+14.7%	lost
2026-07-25	Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers	Colorado Rockies +212	43.2%	31.7%	+11.5%	lost
2026-07-25	Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox -113	63.5%	53.0%	+10.4%	lost
2026-07-25	Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox +120	56.8%	45.5%	+11.4%	lost
2026-07-25	Athletics at Minnesota Twins	Athletics +147	44.4%	40.5%	+3.9%	filtered
2026-07-25	New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies	New York Yankees +153	47.8%	39.5%	+8.2%	won
2026-07-24	San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins -122	57.3%	53.9%	+3.3%	filtered
2026-07-24	San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins -130	57.3%	56.5%	+0.8%	filtered
2026-07-24	Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants -135	63.0%	57.5%	+5.5%	won
2026-07-24	Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates -104	56.0%	50.5%	+5.6%	lost
2026-07-24	Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers	Kansas City Royals +174	36.1%	36.5%	-0.4%	filtered
2026-07-24	Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles -111	62.3%	52.6%	+9.7%	lost
2026-07-24	Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals	Cincinnati Reds +138	52.2%	41.6%	+10.7%	won
2026-07-23	Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians	Minnesota Twins +133	50.5%	42.5%	+7.9%	filtered
2026-07-23	Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays -108	54.5%	51.4%	+3.1%	lost
2026-07-23	Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers -147	64.6%	59.5%	+5.1%	won
2026-07-23	San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves	San Diego Padres +223	42.7%	30.7%	+12.0%	filtered
2026-07-22	San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves	San Diego Padres +203	46.7%	33.0%	+13.7%	lost
2026-07-22	Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox	Baltimore Orioles -488	95.1%	83.0%	+12.1%	won
2026-07-22	Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians -213	85.6%	68.0%	+17.6%	lost
2026-07-22	Miami Marlins at Houston Astros	Houston Astros -104	53.9%	50.5%	+3.4%	won
2026-07-22	Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies -213	81.1%	68.0%	+13.1%	lost
2026-07-22	Athletics at Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks -130	58.4%	56.5%	+1.8%	filtered
2026-07-22	Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees	New York Yankees -120	58.9%	54.5%	+4.3%	won
2026-07-22	San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves	San Diego Padres +106	54.2%	48.5%	+5.7%	lost
2026-07-22	Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners	Cincinnati Reds +153	52.5%	39.5%	+12.9%	won
2026-07-22	Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox	Baltimore Orioles +130	50.4%	43.5%	+6.9%	won
2026-07-21	Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers	Chicago White Sox +106	52.4%	48.5%	+3.9%	lost
2026-07-21	Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays +102	57.1%	49.5%	+7.6%	won
2026-07-21	Detroit Tigers at Chicago Cubs	Detroit Tigers +111	57.4%	47.4%	+10.0%	lost
2026-07-20	St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Angels	St. Louis Cardinals -106	55.2%	51.5%	+3.8%	lost
2026-07-20	San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves	San Diego Padres +115	53.4%	46.5%	+6.9%	lost
2026-07-20	Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies +120	52.4%	45.5%	+6.9%	lost
2026-07-20	Detroit Tigers at Chicago Cubs	Detroit Tigers +106	57.1%	48.5%	+8.5%	won
2026-07-20	Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays +160	49.7%	38.5%	+11.3%	won
2026-07-20	Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies	Los Angeles Dodgers +135	55.4%	42.5%	+12.8%	lost
2026-07-18	Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros	Baltimore Orioles +102	57.4%	49.5%	+7.9%	won
2026-07-18	Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians	Pittsburgh Pirates +115	56.0%	46.5%	+9.5%	won
2026-07-18	Washington Nationals at Athletics	Washington Nationals +111	57.6%	47.4%	+10.2%	lost
2026-07-18	Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs	Minnesota Twins +130	53.9%	43.5%	+10.4%	lost
2026-07-18	Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians -106	72.0%	51.5%	+20.5%	won
2026-07-17	Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees	New York Yankees +106	54.1%	48.5%	+5.6%	filtered
2026-07-17	Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels	Detroit Tigers -102	58.9%	50.5%	+8.4%	won
2026-07-17	Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs	Minnesota Twins +135	51.6%	42.5%	+9.0%	won
2026-07-17	Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays	Chicago White Sox +125	54.9%	44.4%	+10.4%	won
2026-07-17	Texas Rangers at Atlanta Braves	Texas Rangers +190	49.2%	34.5%	+14.7%	lost
2026-07-12	Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins -125	58.8%	55.6%	+3.2%	filtered
2026-07-12	Athletics at Chicago White Sox	Athletics +141	48.6%	41.5%	+7.1%	filtered
2026-07-12	Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins	Cleveland Guardians -102	55.6%	50.5%	+5.1%	filtered
2026-07-12	New York Yankees at Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals -111	57.3%	52.6%	+4.7%	filtered
2026-07-12	Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins	Cleveland Guardians -102	55.6%	50.5%	+5.1%	filtered
2026-07-12	Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals -120	57.3%	54.5%	+2.8%	filtered
2026-07-12	Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins	Cleveland Guardians -102	55.6%	50.5%	+5.1%	filtered
2026-07-12	New York Yankees at Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals -106	57.3%	51.5%	+5.9%	filtered
2026-07-12	Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres +115	57.5%	46.5%	+11.0%	won
2026-07-12	Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants	Colorado Rockies +135	53.1%	42.5%	+10.6%	lost
2026-07-12	Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers	Arizona Diamondbacks +199	52.0%	33.4%	+18.6%	won
2026-07-11	Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres	Toronto Blue Jays -102	52.9%	50.5%	+2.5%	filtered
2026-07-11	Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles -147	62.2%	59.5%	+2.7%	filtered
2026-07-11	Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds	Chicago Cubs +106	54.9%	48.5%	+6.4%	filtered
2026-07-11	Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants	Colorado Rockies +135	50.0%	42.5%	+7.4%	filtered
2026-07-11	Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres	Toronto Blue Jays +102	52.9%	49.5%	+3.5%	filtered
2026-07-11	Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates	Milwaukee Brewers +106	52.2%	48.5%	+3.6%	filtered
2026-07-11	Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds	Chicago Cubs +102	54.9%	49.5%	+5.4%	filtered
2026-07-11	Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants	Colorado Rockies +135	50.0%	42.5%	+7.4%	filtered
2026-07-11	New York Yankees at Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals +182	53.7%	35.5%	+18.3%	filtered
2026-07-11	Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles -141	62.2%	58.5%	+3.7%	filtered
2026-07-11	Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers	Arizona Diamondbacks +277	45.0%	26.5%	+18.4%	won
2026-07-11	Athletics at Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox -115	62.7%	53.5%	+9.2%	filtered
2026-07-11	Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers +125	59.6%	44.4%	+15.1%	lost
2026-07-11	Boston Red Sox at New York Mets	Boston Red Sox +135	53.2%	42.5%	+10.6%	filtered
2026-07-10	Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins	Los Angeles Angels +141	44.5%	41.5%	+3.1%	won
2026-07-10	Houston Astros at Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers +125	48.0%	44.4%	+3.6%	won
2026-07-10	Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres	Toronto Blue Jays +111	53.0%	47.4%	+5.6%	won
2026-07-10	Athletics at Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox -160	64.5%	61.5%	+2.9%	won
2026-07-10	Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates	Milwaukee Brewers +115	51.5%	46.5%	+5.0%	lost
2026-07-10	Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays	Seattle Mariners +120	51.4%	45.5%	+6.0%	lost
2026-07-10	Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles	Kansas City Royals +147	45.0%	40.5%	+4.5%	lost
2026-07-10	Boston Red Sox at New York Mets	Boston Red Sox +141	53.7%	41.5%	+12.2%	won
2026-07-10	Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers -111	61.1%	52.6%	+8.5%	won
2026-07-10	Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers	Arizona Diamondbacks +190	48.5%	34.5%	+14.0%	won
2026-07-10	Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals +147	59.6%	40.5%	+19.1%	won
2026-07-10	Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds	Chicago Cubs -111	69.8%	52.6%	+17.2%	lost
2026-07-10	New York Yankees at Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals +141	63.8%	41.5%	+22.3%	lost
2026-07-09	Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers	Los Angeles Angels +130	47.4%	43.5%	+4.0%	lost
2026-07-09	Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals +115	47.9%	46.5%	+1.4%	lost
2026-07-09	Athletics at Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers -115	58.1%	53.5%	+4.6%	won
2026-07-09	Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds +160	46.1%	38.5%	+7.6%	lost
2026-07-09	Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants	Colorado Rockies +115	57.9%	46.5%	+11.4%	lost
2026-07-09	Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins	Seattle Mariners -120	66.5%	54.5%	+11.9%	lost
2026-07-08	Houston Astros at Washington Nationals	Houston Astros +125	48.5%	44.4%	+4.0%	lost
2026-07-08	Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals +135	47.8%	42.5%	+5.3%	won
2026-07-08	Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles	Chicago Cubs +120	50.8%	45.5%	+5.4%	won
2026-07-08	Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres	Arizona Diamondbacks +130	47.7%	43.5%	+4.2%	lost
2026-07-08	Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds	Philadelphia Phillies +113	52.1%	46.9%	+5.2%	lost
2026-07-08	Kansas City Royals at New York Mets	Kansas City Royals +135	48.5%	42.5%	+6.0%	lost
2026-07-08	Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins +120	54.9%	45.5%	+9.4%	won
2026-07-08	Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers	Colorado Rockies +239	52.1%	29.5%	+22.6%	lost
2026-07-07	Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants +107	52.7%	48.3%	+4.4%	lost
2026-07-07	Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers	Colorado Rockies +282	43.0%	26.2%	+16.8%	won

“Watchlist” picks cleared the model but were filtered out of the official card. Research only — probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.

Baseball, by the numbers.

Picks every game, grades itself

Standings

My betting bot’s picks

Model pickSt. Louis Cardinals +194

Model pickPittsburgh Pirates +245

Model pickSt. Louis Cardinals +245

Model pickPittsburgh Pirates +212

Model pickColorado Rockies +178

Model pickChicago White Sox +163

Units over the season

How the models tested

Every saved prediction (217)